Global Manufacturing Industry: Mio-Tracker Raises Growth Forecast for 2026
Interact Analysis' latest Manufacturing Industry Output (Mio) Tracker raises the global growth forecast for the manufacturing industry in 2026 from 2.6 to 3.2 percent.
The main drivers are semiconductors, data centers, artificial intelligence, and defense, which are spurring additional investment in energy infrastructure and electronics. For the period from 2025 to 2031, Interact Analysis now expects an average annual growth rate of 3.2 percent instead of 2.9 percent.
Traditional industries remain weakened by geopolitical tensions, while capital-intensive future-oriented sectors with high demand for raw materials, energy, and capital are gaining ground. Consumer demand is considered uncertain, particularly in the automotive and consumer goods markets, making investment-driven growth increasingly important.
Regionally, Asia remains the leader with 3.7 percent growth. The Americas will outpace Europe (1.1 percent) with 3.2 percent growth, driven by semiconductors, industrial investments, and onshoring effects in the U.S. The tracker provides quarterly updated data on 102 industries in 45 countries, with 17 years of historical data and a five-year forecast.
